The Market’s Lone Wolf

August 30, 2009


stocks jpg Last night I was watching "The Lone Wolf Spy Hunt", a Colombia release from 1939. The Lone Wolf is a former safecracker, but the police refuse to believe he is really out of the crime racket. In regards to our economy, much of the public won’t believe something either: that the recession has ended. I think recent comments from the Fed and current economic data indicates it has. The market displayed some nice upside action in the last few months, along with some healthy pauses. Consumer spending looks good with a .2 percent July increase. And on the corporate front, technology company Intel (INTC) said the 3rd quarter would improve on higher demand. The climate is clearly improving, and I think it’s time to put your money back into equities.

Whether you’re investing for yourself or the children in a custodial account, stocks are considered the best performers versus other asset classes in the long term. Yes, there’s risk. But children have the time and can afford the risk of stocks. So do you if you haven’t hit retirement age. Remember you can also diversify to lower your risk. That means having money in companies in different sectors. For example, a food, retailer, drug, tech and energy stock. I’ve been buying the blue chips, as usual. Here are some of my recent picks:

  • -Pharmaceutical company Bristol Meyers (BMY) sells at a lower multiple than the competitiors like Merck (MRK) and Pfizer (PFE). Morgan Stanley stupidly lowered their rating on BMY. I think it's going higher, selling cheap, and pays a great dividend (yields 5.4%). I’d buy it.
  • -Verizon (VZ), also a great dividend payer (5.9% yield). They had a nice 2nd quarter and I expect further profitability in the near term.
  • -McDonald's (MCD) is a buy here. It’s a rock solid company that will continue to grow with the times, and last longer than you and me.
  • -Finally with housing arguably at a bottom, I recommend Home Depot (HD). Also buy Target (TGT) with nice 2nd quarter earnings a few weeks back beating estimates.

So look at the Dow’s history, and consider it’s nearly certain growth for you and your children. If you’re willing to take on a little risk and you’ve been holding some cash, now is the time to invest. We’ve just been through a tough market, but don’t let that discourage you from promising investment opportunities.

Written by Dave Harris.

Mommy Mail

Latest Question

Most of the moms in my mom group are putting their kids in preschool this fall. My son just turned 3, but I just don't think he is ready. Plus, I am a stay at home mom and I would like to spend more time with him. I feel a little pressured to start him in preschool but I am just so conflicted about it. Should I do it or not?
Samantha, WI

Answer:

Once your son starts kindergarten, there will be years of formal schooling ahead, so preschool is not a must. In fact, the focus of most preschools is not on education but rather on social skills. Kids learn to spend time together, to socialize and, most importantly, to sit in a circle for a few minutes of discussion or play time. Schools look for this ability to focus (stay in a circle) and that's where preschools help with this foundation of learning along with their peers and focusing on tasks. That said, if you have the time and patience, you don't have to follow the crowd into preschools. You can sign your son for some classes that many community centers offer these days - sports, music, art, etc. Virtually all classes have an element of circle time, so your son will have a chance to practice this much needed ability to focus. You will have to stay active - taking him to playgrounds or scheduling time with friends for play groups, so he gets enough interaction with other kids. You can absolutely create your own plan, it just requires a little more time. However, you will be able to spend more time with your son and will have the flexibility of your own schedule. And if you realize a few months down the road that preschool may be a better option, you can always join then. After all, motherhood is all about changes. Good luck!

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